Saturday, April 26, 2025
Blog Page 954

Oxford Film Network: Open Screen

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Tucked away at the very far end of Cowley, Film Oxford seems far removed from university life. Once a month, a varied group of filmmakers meet for Oxford Open Screen. They show their works in progress and discuss and critique each other’s pieces. The meet-up is filled with a diverse array of characters, and an even more varied range of films, from an informational video about bread which has received more than 200,000 views online, to a highly questionable video of a clown-puppet accompanied by maniacal laughter, to a slick music video featuring a very short man and three adoring women. (Much of the discussion on that last one centred around this height disparity, and which shots could make
the man appear taller.)
One of the highlights of the night was an upcoming documentary about a watercolour artist who commissioned the film to ensure her legacy will not be forgotten. Beautiful shots of her paintings were accompanied by interviews with the artist, and it was fascinating to hear from the documentary-maker about the difficulty of extracting information from this reticent character. It was much more enlightening to see half-finished films than the completed works, and every filmmaker gave an insight into their individual editing processes in the Q&A afterwards.
The group was chaired by Dai Richards, a former director and producer of documentaries such as Iran and the West (2009), Why Intelligence Fails (2004) and the Silver Spire-winning TV documentary, The 50 Years War —Islam and the Arabs (1999). He has spent years creating films for everyone from National Geographic and the BBC, and was nominated for a British Academy Television Award for Best Current Affairs. His advice to the filmmakers was thoughtful and practical, offering a seasoned eye for budding filmmakers, and it seemed everyone who showed their film left with ideas on how to improve their work. Most of the group (fifteen or so people) contributed opinions or encouragement, and the atmosphere was generally positive about the films. Richards told me afterwards that the evening in question had films of an unusually high standard, but he’s always impressed by the works people send in and hopes people continue to contribute in the future as the
event grows.
Advertised as Oxford’s “open mic” film night, Open Screen runs on the second Thursday of every month from 7.30pm-9.30pm at 54 Catherine Street. The evening is free; although they encourage people to bring food and drink to share, and if you email in advance, they will be happy to screen any short film under ten minutes.

Review: Eileen by Ottessa Moshfegh

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Reading Ottessa Moshfegh’s Eileen is an exercise in waiting. A slow story of social dysfunction in a quiet New England locality, it is not unlike Ethan Frome. But, beyond the general morbidity and volume of snow, Eileen starts to stand apart from comparisons to Edith Wharton, owing to its remarkable merits, as well as to its less remarkable flaws. It’s been shortlisted for the 2016 Man Booker Prize—the winner of which is announced next week—but the judges don’t have an easy job with this novel. Having “unremarkable flaws” is perhaps how the eponymous narrator, looking back to 1964, would best describe her twenties. She lives an unenviable life as a secretary in a boy’s prison, living at home with her drunkard father. She is lonely, and loathes almost everybody. Presentday Eileen reminds us—almost on a schedule, every few pages—that she will at some point make a dramatic, leave-it-all-behind escape. But, page after page it doesn’t happen, and the reader waits.

Of course, the wait is actually the story. Confusingly, one critic given prime dustjacket space tells us that Moshfegh’s novel is: “A taut psychological thriller”. An endorsement likely to shift copies at the airport, perhaps, but a one-sided description of most of Moshfegh’s novel. Eileen’s narrative is as messy as her house. It has a stop-start, digressional nature that does actually read like the half-remembered account of an aged mind. This works very well for characterisation and pacing. Eileen brings us repeatedly back to people and happenings, layering and layering. No, “taut” doesn’t work here. It is a very flexible narrative.

As for “psychological”, that belies the novel’s intense awareness of the body. The way Moshfegh confronts us with what bodies do is disgusting, candid, and wonderful. Close-ups of masticating mouths and constant awareness of sweat make for dark comedy; thoughts on the shame attached to menstruation and strong hints at eating disorders make for darker refl ections. These bodies move in a world made readable less by minds than by objects. Candy wrappers, alcohol bottles, dead animals and sheets of paper pass as deftly through her prose as through the hands of her characters. I have rarely read a more physical story than Eileen.

But it is that larger description, ‘psychological thriller’, which underscores the book’s big weakness. If it weren’t for the last 40-odd pages, nobody would go near the word “thriller” when writing about this book. Yes, the turnaround line, the big reveal, is delivered with masterful, thrilling timing. But once it is done, and things suddenly begin to move in a distinctly more “thrillery” way, the last pages are disappointing. Eileen’s distinctive voice seems to get spliced with a boring, readymade thriller tone. Airport readers might have been disappointed, but the book would have worked really well without the twist and escape. It’s not that Eileen shouldn’t have borrowed from genre: it’s that it did it badly. It seems right to remember Eileen for what it mostly is: a slow, raw account of the screwed up. When you think of it like that, this book deserves prizes. Unfortunately for Moshfegh, people put a lot on endings, and the Man Booker panel might not be so forgiving.

In defence of non-fiction literature

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No one missed Bob Dylan winning this year’s Nobel Prize for Literature last week. In 2015, a Belarusian author almost unknown in the Anglophone world named Svetlana Alexievich won the same prize. What made Alexievich’s victory unusual was that, like Dylan, she wasn’t awarded the Nobel Prize for her poems, novels, or short stories. She doesn’t have any of these. She was awarded the Nobel Prize for Literature for her non-fiction.

This year the judges again branched out from the common understanding of literature. When we think of literature, we tend to think of novels, poems, or short stories—very occasionally a travelogue, though that only secondarily and with some doubt as to whether it ought to be included. Yet when we look at the Oxford English Dictionary, literature is defined as “Written works, especially considered to be of superior or lasting artistic merit”. No talk there of the necessity of the events being made, the characters false and the actions imagined. Indeed, much of what we may colloquially call literature doesn’t fall under this definition at all—who after all considers the turgid prose of Dan Brown or the works of the poetaster William McGonagall, as being “of superior or lasting artistic merit”.

Though it seems alien to us in England and 2016, for Alfred Nobel, viewing works of non- fiction as works of literature seemed natural. Indeed, given his general practical disposition and outlook, it appears very likely that when Alfred Nobel set out a prize for literature in his will, he meant it mainly to benefit authors of non-fiction. And for a few brief years after Nobel died, his wish was on the whole followed, and a number of authors mainly noted for their non-fiction won the Nobel Prize for literature, including the classicist Theodor Mommsen and the philosopher Henri Bergson. But it didn’t take long for non-fiction laureates to become sparser and sparser.

Which brings us back to Alexievich. She is the first laureate since 1953, when Sir Winston Churchill was awarded the Nobel, to have won the prize for non-fiction work. That is not to say other laureates haven’t written non-fiction since then. Pablo Neruda would write political pamphlets, Doris Lessig wrote her memoirs, and number of laureates have written copiously on literary criticism, but none of these were why they won the prize. They won it for their fiction.

Some may say the dearth of non-fiction writers amongst Nobel laureates isn’t a problem. Definitions change, and in the modern age, literature has come to mean fiction. But the lack of acknowledgement of non-fiction as literature is part of wider problem. It is extends to what C.P. Snow, in 1953, called the two cultures. Then, it was simply a division between literary intellectuals and scientific intellectuals, but today, the world has gotten much more fragmented. The literary intellectuals now come to consider literature as their own field of fiction, and whatever lies beyond it to be some strange writing, but certainly not literature. Which is a pity because for all the benefit of novels and poems, there is still much which can only be learnt from non-fiction, and many great stories which are true.

A common riposte to this argument would no doubt be that fiction authors tend to be better stylists. Even if this is so, it does not take away from the fact that there have been a number of authors who write mainly or exclusively non-fiction who, as stylists, are equal to a Nobel novelist. In the English language alone, since 1953, there has been the historian E.P. Thompson, the biologist Richard Dawkins, the essayist Christopher Hitchens, and the travel writer Rebecca West. All of these are writers of great skill and ability, who are at least of deserving of a Nobel as Haldor Laxness or Par Lagerkvist.

In the midst of the debate over Dylan’s worthiness, non-fiction remains neglected in the prize’s history. I hope that, in future, the judges don’t revert to their old practices, but consider worthy writers such as Richard Dawkins and David McCullough, who write about real events, and not just their imaginations.

A night at the clubs: Bridge Thursday

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“If there had been 15 more people in that queue, someone would have died”, is an interesting epithet with which to begin a club review, but in this momentous Bridge Thursday, it is the most true. Sweaty crushes, over 1000 tickets sold (and thus pitchers, jagerbombs, and drunken forgotten chat aplenty) and an overall organisational disaster that meant this Bridge might would live on in people’s memories (and not necessarily in a good way). Although supposedly Varsity themed, there was little evidence of this—the open pistes of the Alps seemed worlds away from the efforts by many to squash past one another to the space and air of the smoking area.

Of course, this too ended a futile endeavour, as this air was clogged with rising translucent clouds of smoke. This was to be expected in the smoking area, but was not to be expected was the sheer quantity of people present. Bridge capacity is 1200. 1500 people turned up at 10:30. 800 people were already inside. These kinds of numbers are almost unprecedented— proceeding largely from an aggressive campaign run by the reps and an underestimation of how many tickets were actually sold. Who could have possibly foreseen the popularity of a Thursday night in Oxford’s most famous club…

This isn’t to say that it was necessarily a total disaster—by all accounts it was actually quite fun for all of those lucky enough to make it in. In addition, it’s hard for Bridge Thursday to ever be exactly bad—the intrinsically social aspect of catching up with a rather random collection of people you know is always going to be fun. Just this week; it came with the risk of being crushed. Perhaps a rethink on ticketing is required.

Cherwell Film School: Writing a Screenplay

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Cherwell Film School: Writing a screenplay

So, you’ve secured what you think will be a ground-breaking premise. It’s relatable, topical and simultaneously timeless. But a good screenplay is still in order, in fact it’s primordial for the quality of the premise in your head to carry through to the screen. Although much of the advice on writing screenplays is applicable to both shorts and features – they sometimes differ, as they need to take a different approach to telling an impactful story due to time restraint. My advice will focus on how to write a screenplay for a short.

  • Twist, twist, twist: A short film screenplay does not have the time to be remembered through extravagancies in of character development, or intricate revelations of the human psyche. The drama of life is captured because the script drags pout a question throughout most of the film, which is then answered at the end. But it’s best if it’s not in the way one expects.
  • Motion: Mark Axelrod of Chapman University, in his book ‘Constructing Dialogue’ specifically looks at the language of screenplays. He concludes that the most effective ones have a motion of purpose. This, he states, is most successfully indicated when the last word of one character is closely associated with the first word of the follow-up response. This emulates real life conversations. Take a careful listen next time there’s a conversation going on.
  • Detail: Film is a visual form of storytelling. You should be telling things more with image than dialogue. This means that directions and character descriptions are fundamental in telling a believable story. Particularly for shorts where limited time means the audience needs visual cues to set the scene before it starts changing.

Cherwell Film School: Eight Key Film-making Roles

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1. Producer: Arguably the most important role, they balance the creative decisions of the film as well as the logistics of it. Without them, films couldn’t happen.
2. Director: An actor can only focus on their individual performance in the moment, a director is there to guide these performances so that they are coherent as part of an ensemble of characters and also coherent from shot to shot.
3. Assistant Director: Not a creative role at all, actually. The AD does the schedules and makes sure the film is finished.
4. Director of Photography: The visual director of the film, the DP assesses how the story is
best told through image. A DP is not simply someone who is good at image composition.
Rather, it is someone who can use angles, lenses, light, movement etc. to communicate.
5. Editor: The editor approaches the footage from a fresh point of view to build the story
out of building blocks of cuts.
6. Gaffer: The gaffer works with the DP to play with light and set the mood of the image. It
seems trivial, but use of light is one of the most effective ways to trigger emotion.
7. Sound and Boom Operator: A lot of a film is the sound. They are the most noticeable errors and this department has to be patient and meticulous for the film to go off without a hitch.
8. Script Supervisor. They sit next to the director and watch for continuity errors, much to
the dismay of those YouTube channels who like picking at them.

Live review: Ward Thomas at the O2 Academy

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Coming onto the stage with an undeniably acoustic sound, Ward Thomas feel strangely out of place with the Bullingdon’s notorious grimy vibe. Somewhere behind us, a drunken fan screams “They are sisters and aren’t they beautiful?!”

It is the second night of Catherine and Lizzy Ward Thomas’ UK tour. The audience, a mix of older people who fell in love with country music in their youth and younger students who have become enthralled by the recent surge of British country artists such as The Shires, are all united by the power of their harmonies.

The band effortlessly embody the emotion of their songs, harmonising with each other in a way that only family members seem to be able to do. Harmony is not just a trend, but the crux of this kind of music. Tonight’s support, Scarlet, is yet another act putting harmony at the centre of their performance. Ward Thomas seamlessly transition from folksy duo to pop country singers, bringing a real honesty to the stage. So much so, that their song ‘Cartwheels’ forces you to hear the heartbreak either one of the sisters may have felt, even if you’ve never been through heartbreak yourself.

No matter the heartbreak and hard times they sing about, it’s clear that they love what they do. The two sisters constantly share glances throughout the gig. Each time their faces light up with a contagious delight. The gig reaches its height when the opening of their most famous song ‘Guilty Flowers’ begins. The band share an anecdote about their reaction to this being played for the first time on Radio 1—dubbing it their first ‘cool’ song.

There is a sense of surprise mixed with pride in this story. The sisters are humble enough to have clearly never expected to reach that level, and probably never thought they’d be touring the UK following a number 1 album. They also take time to pay a rather touching tribute to the late Terry Wogan, dedicating their first single, ‘Push for the Stride’, to his memory as a “thank you” for featuring them on Radio 2.

Towards the end of the gig, they strip back to a ‘snug session’: a more toned-down version of ‘Proof’, accompanied by ukulele and accordion. Their vocal and instrumental talents shine here. With nothing to hide behind, the two musicians are stripped back and raw. At their most vulnerable state, they continue to impress, no small feat considering the close, and likely intimidating. proximity of the audience.

As they slink back onto stage for their encore, they are greeted by a chorus of fans who all sing the harmonies of ‘Carry Me Home’ back to them. You can see in their faces that the sisters are moved by the sight.

Brideshead, revisited: Oxford then and now

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I first read Evelyn Waugh’s Brideshead Revisited in the Michaelmas I came to Oxford. Its reputation as the definitive summary of the experience of going to university at Oxford had drawn me to it: a literary testament from an institution famed for the writers it had produced. Brideshead carried an aura of being a summation of what it means to be an Oxonian, even if only its first third is set in Oxford. It’s surprising how its depiction of Oxford still resonates, despite being firmly set in the 1920s. The great speech given to the protagonist, Charles Ryder, by his older cousin Jasper, who’s already at Oxford, carries a good bit of truth, even after all this time:

“You’re reading History? A perfectly respectable school. The very worst is English literature and the next worse is Modern Greats. You want either a first or a fourth. […] Time spent on a good second is time thrown away. You should go to the best lectures […] irrespective of whether they are in your school or not…Clothes. Dress as you do in a country house. Never wear a tweed coat and flannel trousers—always a suit. […] Clubs. Join the Carlton and the Grid at the beginning of your second year. If you want to run for the Union—and it’s not a bad thing to do—make your reputation outside first, at the Canning or the Chatham […]. Don’t treat dons like schoolmasters; treat them as you would the vicar at home… You’ll find you spend half your second year shaking off the undesirable friends you made in your first. … Beware of the Anglo-Catholics—they’re all sodomites with unpleasant accents. In fact, steer clear of all the religious groups”.

Comparing now and then, what immediately becomes clear is how little store was set by academic work. Lectures are to be gone to for the general improvement of the mind, rather than whether they aid with a tutorial essay (and thankfully, the tradition of attending open lectures continues). There’s an idea that Oxford is fundamentally a social university, a space to meet other people—hence Jasper’s exacting recommendation to ‘[d]ress as you do in a country house’. Sartorial standards may have dropped in the intervening decades amongst the majority. Although a minority can still be reliably found in a suit and tie most days. Some of the clubs mentioned, like the Canning and Chatham, are no more, but the Union is going stronger than perhaps ever before and features amongst the collective consciousness of the university.

There’s also the snobbery. The casual dismissal of Modern Greats (now known as PPE) betrays a mindset of subject rivalry which has mellowed but is still present and encouraged to some extent; on the other hand, the contention that ‘You want either a first or a fourth’ in an era of Gentleman’s and Ladies’ thirds has long since passed since the expansion of universities in the post-war era. The homophobic attitude towards Anglo-Catholics reveals what were still underlying tensions toward the disputations of the Victorian Oxford Movement.

Some would argue that snobbery has far from disappeared from Oxford. While students come from increasingly varied backgrounds, with 59 percent of this year’s freshers having been state educated, undergraduates sharing the background of the Ryders are very much part of the fabric of university life, just as the Gridiron Club still exists in its rooms above Pizza Express in Golden Cross. Oxford has changed substantially in many respects since Waugh went here, yet one need only scratch beneath the surface to see an institution where it is possible to step back in time, even for those who have not been privately educated. Brideshead Revisited still tells us where to look when we want to peel back the layers of a university nearly a millennium old.

OFW: the Complexities of Cultural Appropriation

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On Tuesday, Oxford Fashion Week put on a talk at Oxford Castle Unlocked on cultural appropriation. Their panel was diverse, and consequently gave a varied and interesting discussion. The fashion experts were Dr Natascha Radclyffe, the Inaugural University of the Arts London Teaching Scholar and Course Leader for BA Fashion Marketing, and Pamela Church-Gibson, a reader in Cultural and Historical Studies at the London College of Fashion. Alongside these appeared Professor Constantine Sandis, a Professor of Philosophy at the University of Hertfordshire, who wrote a book entitled  ‘Cultural Heritage Ethics: Between Theory and Practice’, and two students – Christy Chin, pursuing a BA degree in Business and Management at University of Exeter, and Brian Wong, who studies PPE at Oxford.

Discussions were initiated by looking at the problem from a more general and global perspective. Brian Wong brought a colonial aspect to the fore, suggesting that cultural appropriation is rooted in a power dynamic between cultures. Citing historical examples, he convincingly argued that dominant cultures are able to define other cultures, shaping the narratives of authenticity and originality by displacing what is actually the reality. The global economic domination of the West was also highlighted as another key element of the issue. Brian argued that economically speaking, cultural appropriation doesn’t benefit minorities in a vast number of instances. Rather, it displaces them from positions of economic power because revenue and profits largely go into the hands of the white dominant and privileged classes. These classes produce and generate these items without necessarily redistributing the profits into the hands from whom the culture was taken.

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(Valentino ‘Africa’ Collection Spring/Summer 2016) ‘Africa as vibrant, as throbbing, as imperfect purity. The analogical, hand-made approach is the antidote to the digital deprivation of individual character in order to maintain authentic individuality.’ (description from Valentino’s website)

Turning to fashion more specifically, Pamela Church-Gibson and Dr Natascha Radclyffe explored many different shocking examples of insensitivity from designers. African themed collections particularly generated objections. Key words such as ‘Wild’ and ‘Tribal’, in fact explicitly used by Valentino for his ‘Africa’ collection in 2016, demonstrate the displaced view of the ‘exotic.’ Pamela highlighted how in many of these collections, Africa, which is an enormous and diverse continent, is bundled together as if it was one simple country.

Junya Watanabe’s 2016 Spring/Summer show similarly mixed African styles together. It did not include a single black model, and most disturbingly portrayed false scarification on their models. The use of Native American clothing in Dsquared2’s ‘Dsquaw’ collection (‘squaw’ is a derogatory term used by English-speakers to slur Native women), similarly generated protest and outrage.

The lack of acknowledgement and appreciation of the significance and meaning behind different people’s cultures was taken as the root of the offense by all of the panelists. The whole panel was firmly in agreement: cultural appropriation is prevalent in the fashion industry and it is fundamentally wrong. Yet, despite unanimous agreement against cultural appropriation, the panel found it difficult to answer straightforwardly when probed with questions as to where to draw the line on appropriation. Two fundamental questions were raised during the discussion. Firstly, micro vs macro – looking at whether an individual can culturally appropriate, compared a trans-national company or brand. Secondly the issue of the subjectivity of offensive behaviour making policing or even defining cultural appropriation a complex issue.

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A piece from Junya Watanabe’s 2016 Spring/Summer Collection

All panelists were fully behind multiculturalism, and inspiration coming from different cultures. Jean Paul Gautier’s 1989 show ‘Around the World in 168 outfits’ was praised for celebrating other culture’s handcrafts and textiles.  Yet, when asked by an audience member whether buying a local shawl from street sellers in Bolivia and returning to the UK to wear it was appropriation, there was disagreement- disagreement which seemed to reveal underlying issues within complex attitudes towards cultural appropriation. Pamela, Natascha and Brian all argued that the street sellers were benefitting economically and so in this instance it was fine. However, Professor Constantine contested this, saying that the act of wearing the shall could still be inherently wrong because even if the buyer has the best of intentions the act itself can still be invested with power dynamics. One litmus test for cultural appropriation, suggested by Brian Wong, was to look at ‘who is occupying centre stage and who is getting credit’. But in opposition, Professor Constantine highlighted the inherent problems behind the idea of a ‘giving a green light’ to designers. His response to an audience question on the labelling cultural appropriation I think is the most pertinent to the issues raised:

“I think it’s a mistake to think that we can give a definition of cultural appropriation in terms of necessary and sufficient conditions… morality is just far more complex than that.”

The talk was enlightening and created thought-provoking discussion, but it also highlighted the difficulties of resolving the complexities surrounding the issue of cultural appropriation.

Red on Blue: Should we renew our nuclear weapons?

Red: Sam Cockle-Hearne

We live in an uncertain world. Brutal civil wars and ever-changing foreign relations undoubtedly put the issue of national security on the front line of political discourse. Factoring in increased Russian expansionism from an unpredictable Putin regime, it’s understandable large parts of British society support the Trident nuclear programme. However, all that being said, so long as we live in a world of nuclear superpowers far superior to us, Trident makes little difference to our power relations.

After all, the UK’s nuclear capabilities hold no real influence in a bilateral nuclear world. The Arms Control Association estimate Russia have 4,500 warheads stockpiled and 1,735 warheads deployed on Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles, compared to the USA’s estimated 4,571 stockpiled warheads and 1,481 deployed warheads. In stark contrast, the UK is estimated to have 120 deployed warheads and 95 stockpiled or retired warheads. As far as the balance of power goes, our contributions are evidently insignificant. Indeed, the most frequently deployed argument defending the Trident nuclear programme is to ensure a happy stalemate to prevent mutually assured destruction; mutually assured destruction is the belief that a single missile launch would prompt a chain reaction causing irrevocable damage to all states involved. So long as two states with nuclear capabilities sufficient to totally annihilate the other exist, this doctrine is upheld. That is to say, we require only the USA and Russia to maintain a peaceful balance averting the threat of mutually assured destruction. Not us.

The frequent counterargument presented is that we ought to maintain stockpiled and deployed warheads should a nuclear threat be levelled directly against the UK. The burden of proof then is on Trident supporters to prove that Russia and the US would not react with proportion to any show of nuclear force, triggering a bilateral conflict and resulting in mutually assured destruction. This is, for obvious reasons, unlikely.

So why does this matter? We can safely decommission Trident, but why should we? The answer fundamentally lies in the cost of Trident. Pinpointing the precise price tag is almost impossible, with rough approximations ranging from official estimates of £31 billion to the CND’s claim that it’s a whole £205 billion. On top of an unequivocally hefty sum, there will be a further cost of £250 million to maintain existing warheads and between £1.2 and £1.4 billion to run existing Trident submarines until 2028. In the meantime, the NHS ran a deficit of over a billion pounds this past year – and it’s not the only public service which is struggling.

So why are we spending such obscene amounts of money on the renewal of a system that really holds no impact on a bilateral nuclear world? We must come to accept that Trident is a gross waste of money, and go on to make a demonstrable positive impact on the lives of British citizens by channelling this funding into our strained services. Trident has had its age – and it’s time to retire it.

 

Blue: Matt Burwood

Nobody likes nuclear weapons, just as nobody likes war. As a technology designed to end countless lives and bring suffering upon countless more, it is straightforwardly uncontroversial to condemn them and wish that they had never existed. Alas, developments in relativistic physics rendered the development of the first nuclear warheads inevitable, this leading straightforwardly to multilateral armament. While I fully sympathise with those who wish it were not so – that these weapons could be unwritten from history – the world becomes no less dangerous through our wishful thinking.

The most important concept in this debate is that of the aptly named MAD, or mutually assured destruction. “You nuke me, I nuke you” is essentially the deal, made possible using Trident submarines with second-strike capability. If rational agents behave in such a way as to promote their continued existence, then the threat of retaliation renders a first nuclear attack irrational. There’s simply nothing to be gained from such an apocalyptic decision. When Mhairi Black claims secondary strikes are pointless “because we’d all be dead anyway”, she misses the point that we wouldn’t all be dead in the first place precisely because we have the ability to retaliate.

All this talk of rational agents is very well, I hear you say, but what if some raving despotic lunatic comes to power? What if we let enthusiasm trump rationality? Armageddon at the hands of a reality star with a bad hairdo seems a pithy end to thousands of years of human endeavour. Well, the argument works both ways. While a nuclear capable North Korea with increasingly strident rhetoric is concerning, what would be more concerning is a world in which North Korea were the only nuclear capable state. The unilateral disarmament folk need to consider which state actors they would be content to see retain their weapons while the rest of the world honourably set theirs aside. North Korea? India? Israel? Or maybe Russia, who have recently scrapped their non-proliferation treaty with the United States, and stationed weapons in Kaliningrad for good measure?

Putting existential threats momentarily to one side, the anti-Trident campaigners are often quick to criticise the cost of the system. Renewing Trident is undoubtedly set to be a big cost, and the running costs amount to around 5% of the annual defence budget. But the costs are only meaningful when one considers the counterfactual. It is impossible to say where the money would otherwise be spent, but there is a plausible argument that without nuclear weapons in the latter half of the 20th Century there would have been far less to deter Russian aggression, and far less to discourage conventional attacks on European nations. How much might this have cost? It seems plausible that providing an equivalent deterrent in terms of conventional weaponry would either be impossible or cost far more than 5% of the defence budget.

So think of Trident as the ultimate insurance policy. Just because you never claim on your insurance doesn’t mean it was a waste of money, and you have to consider the costs you may otherwise incur in the worst case scenario. At best, scrapping our deterrent could cost some hopelessly large fraction of national GDP. At worst, the country could cease to exist.