Miles Pressland & Joe Davies consider the reasons why Labour saw such a landslide defeat – and the common denominator is Jeremy Corbyn.
Miles Pressland
A few years ago, I was discussing the unsteady political
climate with a Conservative friend of mine. At a moment during which I thought
the conversation couldn’t get any more ridiculous, he claimed that it was
possible for a Conservative campaign to successfully win seats in the
traditional Labour heartland of the North. To me, this seemed completely absurd
– yet I was very much mistaken.
Alienation from the Labour Party has been occurring steadily
but surely over the last few decades. As Labour have continuously failed to
present a viable alternative to Conservative governance to the British public,
the working classes have inevitably lost confidence in their usual party. Most voters
are under no illusion as to the state of the country – in my experience, the
majority will readily admit the poor state of the NHS, the worrying rise in
homelessness and poverty, generally stagnant wages, and ever-increasing rent
prices. Nonetheless, many continue to vote passionately for the Conservative
party; including those who have traditionally suffered under Conservative
governance, such as Blyth Valley in Northumberland. One might concede that
Labour failed to convince the public of the economic viability of their
spending plan – yet this doesn’t appear to have been the principal concern.
Labour’s policies in their 2019 manifesto feed into a truth all
too readily acknowledged by these lost voters; that its central administration and
leadership has now emigrated to London, thereby becoming wholly out of touch
with the issues facing voters in the wider country. This perception was in turn
exacerbated by Labour’s spending policy, seen by many as bourgeois
socialism.
Of course, it may be surprising that I’ve gotten this far
without even mentioning Brexit. Since the original referendum, Labour was
dropped into a somewhat impossible dilemma, risking the alienation of a significant
fraction of its voter base, irrespective of their decision. Nevertheless, the
influence of Starmer and Thornberry has evidently harmed Labour – through
backing a second referendum, and leaving it unclear as to whether Labour would
even support its own reached deal with the European Union, it became impossible
for the voter, concerned principally with the deliverance of Brexit, to tick
the box for Labour. This did not necessarily lead to an increase in the
Conservative vote; rather, the traditional Labour voters felt alienated, and
were left an option in the form of the Brexit Party. Whilst this party did not
win any seats, they were undoubtedly part of the puzzle in that they
contributed to the loss of votes for Labour.
This visceral disdain for the Labour party is nothing new,
and it has hardly increased since the referendum. The reality is that Johnson
has successfully outmanoeuvred Corbyn on the matter not only of Brexit, but
also of a wider-presented ‘image’, in which Corbyn came off as outdated, patronising,
and secretly supportive of subverting the referendum result. None of this was
conducive to a Labour victory, thereby allowing Johnson to sweep in and hoover
up a vast swathe of disenfranchised voters.
This, unfortunately, is now the state we Labourites must
address. We cannot hide from this painful truth with reference to media bias or
the like; whilst I have little doubt that much of the media viscerally attacked
Corbyn, we simply cannot pretend that voters did not have substantive concerns
with Labour, based in passionately held convictions. If we fail to address this
fact, we shall simply perpetuate our image as a party of the intelligentsia,
separated from the subjective interests of the working and lower middle
classes.
I worry as to the route Labour will now go down. We must not
swallow a Blairite myth that we lost this election as a consequence of being
too radical; the failure of the Liberal Democrats shows very clearly that the
political aspirations of the likes of Chukka Umunna should not be entertained.
We are, undeniably, living in a time of radicalism, in which people of all
stripes demand real substantive changes. To go down a route of centrism would
do little to aid us, and would mock those Labour has vowed to represent.
Yet, it would be foolish to sit back and hope Labour will do
better next time. There must be dramatic change, in the form of both a new
image and a new leader. Sadly, none of the prospective candidates really offer
this; to choose the likes of Starmer or Thornberry as leader would, given their
consistent support for a second referendum, do little to heal these persistent political
wounds. The Labour party now must be extremely careful in considering its
future in opposition – these Corbyn years have shown us that, despite popular
policies, an unpopular leader can ring the bell for a party’s electoral
chances. To choose a figure already within the shadow cabinet therefore would
be a foolish move – we must not read this as a defeat only for Corbyn or the
2019 manifesto, but as a disastrous defeat for the entire current cabinet.
Returning to my thoughts during the conversation with my Conservative friend, it becomes clear that the Conservatives have to some degree overturned the political status quo, winning seats Johnson would have only dared to win in his wildest fantasies. Yet, we must still celebrate Jeremy Corbyn; under his leadership, we witnessed a party fundamentally critical of the many social vices maintained and exacerbated by the Conservatives.What Corbyn offered to the electorate was, unquestionably, a fundamentally radical vision for a better Britain. For my part, I am indebted to Corbyn for providing this true alternative. But we must look consciously and lucidly to our abject failures in relation to Brexit, the presentation of the fiscal responsibility of our spending plan, and of the specific individuals we asked the electorate to place into the cabinet office. If we don’t accept the new political status quo, and we are not careful to redress our problematic image, it may be a while before Labour can win another election.
Joe Davies
I will never forget the moment the exit poll came in on
Thursday night. For many of us, especially those of us who spent hours, days,
or even weeks out in the rain and cold campaigning, the heartbreak is tangible.
Yet, we do not have time to wallow in self-pity. Our party must rebuild, and
fast, because this country simply cannot afford for us to lose to the
Conservatives. We need to diagnose exactly what went wrong, and ensure that such
a catastrophic defeat never occurs again.
I spent the five days between the end of Michaelmas and polling
day in Southampton Itchen, a Tory-held marginal with a majority of just 31 in
2017. For Labour, there was no path to victory that did not lead through this
constituency. We were very confident that we could win it – but we didn’t. Instead,
there was a 5% swing away from Labour, and the Tories now hold a 4,498-vote
majority.
My campaigning in Itchen – speaking to hundreds of voters
across the seat – taught me one thing: this was not the Brexit election. It was
the Corbyn election.
I assumed on my first day campaigning that the most common
issue brought up on the doorstep would be Brexit. To be sure, this issue arose
frequently. I’d say that about 1 in every 3 or 4 voters brought up Brexit
unprompted. Yet, this was far from the biggest issue at hand. More than 2 in
every 3 voters – perhaps as many as 3 in every 4 – brought up their dislike of
Corbyn as the reason for them not voting Labour. This was entirely unprompted. Shockingly,
only three voters, out of the hundreds I spoke to, discussed Corbyn in a
positive light.
It seems that this isn’t merely my own subjective
experience. Today’s Delta Poll asked those who deserted Labour at this election
why they did so; nineteen-percent said Brexit, whilst forty-six-percent said
Jeremy Corbyn.
Corbyn was, undoubtedly, the reason Labour didn’t win
Southampton Itchen. On polling day, we desperately grasped lists of voters we believed
were committed to voting Labour. My job was to knock on their doors to make
sure they had visited the polling station. By lunchtime, it became clear we
were in troubled waters: as many as half of the Labour voters I was speaking to
told me they weren’t even going to bother voting that day. Even when I attempted
to persuade them to vote, explaining that we had a majority of just 31 votes to
overturn, I was rejected. Most wouldn’t give me a reason, and those who would
were emphatic: they wouldn’t want Corbyn at 10 Downing Street.
What we must learn from this defeat is simple: we can never
afford to ignore the electorate again. It doesn’t matter how much we like
Jeremy Corbyn, or how inspired he makes the student demographic feel. If, after
4 years, our leader still has a net approval rating of -30%, we are simply not
going to win an election. Politics isn’t about feeling positive or rebelliously
radical; it’s about changing people’s lives. We are the Labour Party, and the
most vulnerable people in the country depend on us to win. We, as a
party, will always have a duty to keep the Tories out of government and to create
a fairer Britain. We cannot shirk this responsibility.
I will never leave this party – I am Labour to the core. Yet,
we all need Labour to stop being a party of protest and become the party of
government once again. I am not suggesting for a moment that we abandon all of
our polices from the Corbyn era. We will continue to fight for a radical vision
of a fairer Britain – but we will not return to New Labour. Similarly, we will
not lose our radical agenda – we simply need to ensure that it is both credible
and viable.
Moreover, what is also clear is that the scourge of
anti-Semitism within our party needs to be actively dealt with. Nothing in this
election broke my heart more than hearing progressive, socialist Jewish
individuals telling me that they could not vote Labour in this election because
of anti-Semitism within the party. Solidarity means nothing if it is not
solidarity for all. We must urgently rebuild trust with the Jewish
community, and this has to be our top priority moving forward.
Politics isn’t a game, and you don’t get a silver medal for
coming second. Millions of people up and down this country need a Labour
government; our basic services, such as our hospitals and schools, cannot
continue seeing Tory cuts. Tonight, thousands of people will go to sleep on the
freezing streets of the 7th richest country on earth. It was our
duty to give these people a home, to give the 4 million children living in
poverty in this country hope for the future, and to protect our NHS from Donald
Trump and his cronies. We failed in this duty, and this will always remain
heart-breaking to admit.
We are not mere rebels. The Labour Party isn’t about sitting
around in church halls and celebrating our socialism. Singing the Red Flag and
calling each other “comrade” is fine – knock yourself out, I’m not trying to
stop you – but that can’t be all we are about. We must form a government at the
next election. If we do not, this country will never recover.
Please, when you come to vote in the upcoming leadership
election, think of the electorate at large. Ask yourself which of the
candidates has the best chance of uniting this country and winning back
Scotland, the “Red Wall”, Wales and Southampton Itchen. Think about their principles,
yes, but also ask yourself how likely it is that they will be able to win the
power to act upon them. Our country needs a credible Labour Party; it is our
duty to deliver it.